A British writer is likely to win the Man Booker Prize for the first time in five years when the winner is announced tomorrow. Unless the South African born Nobel Prize winner JM Coetzee wins the Booker for the third time — and sets a new record in the Booker's 41-year history.
All the five other writers on this year's shortlist are from the British Isles.
That is highly unusual for the Booker.
The prize for the best in English fiction from the Commonwealth and Ireland has been won by a Briton only twice in the past 12 years. Alan Hollinghurst was the last British winner in 2004 for The Line Of Beauty. Ian McEwan was the previous British winner, for Amsterdam in 1998.
There have been more Indian than British winners in the past 12 years. Arundhati Roy won for The God Of Small Things in 1997, Kiran Desai for The Inheritance Of Loss in 2006 and Aravind Adiga for The White Tiger last year.
This video shows the shortlist being announced earlier this month. (Another video at the end of this post.)
Coetzee, the 2003 Nobel Prize winner, won the Booker for Life & Times of Michael K in 1983 and Disgrace in 1999 — and has been shortlisted this year for Summertime.
The English novelist AS Byatt is another past winner back in the fray. The 1990 winner for Possession is on the shortlist this year for The Children's Book.
Here are the odds on the six shortlisted authors and their books cited by a betting website:
Hilary Mantel – Wolf Hall – (2 – 1 Favourite)
Sarah Waters – The Little Stranger – (4 – 1)
JM Coetzee – Summertime – (6 – 1)
AS Byatt – The Children's Book – (10 – 1)
Simon Mawer – The Glass Room – (14 – 1)
Adam Foulds – The Quickening Maze – (16 – 1)
Other past Booker winners include Anne Enright (The Gathering, 2007), John Banville (The Sea, 2005), DBC Pierre (Vernon God Little, 2003), Yann Martel (Life Of Pi, 2002), Peter Carey (True History Of The Kelly Gang, 2001) and Margaret Atwood (The Blind Assassin, 2000).